Aims and Scope
Modeling Current and Future Climate Change in the UAE using Various GCMs in MarksimGCMRLatifa Saeed Al Blooshi, Sofyan Alyan, Ngaina Joshua Joshua, Taoufik Saleh Ksiksi
Changes in climate have impacts on natural and human systems on all continents and across the oceans. Most countries, including the UAE, are expected to experience a huge impact of climate change, due to the undergoing rapid growth and huge urban developments.
Materials & Methods:
Representative Concentration Pathways, or RCPs, represent the latest generation of scenarios that are used as potential inputs into climate models to show imposed greenhouse-gas concentration pathways during the 21st century. Four emission scenarios have been used for climate research; namely RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 6 and RCP 8.5. RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 are used. The aims of this study are to assess different RCPs and their appropriateness to predict temperatures and rainfall and to study the effect of climate change on three different cities in the UAE.
Results & Conclusion:
The results show a strong correlation between the present Tmax vs Tmax 2020, Tmax 2040, Tmax 2060, Tmax 2080 and Tmax 2095 for both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. This means that maximum temperatures are going to increase in the coming years based on the predictions according to the different scenarios using MarksimGCMR.
Precipitation projections shows greater variation than temperature. In this paper the amount of increase in temperatures and precipitation change is shown for the end of the current century.
December 20, 2019
- November 2, 2019
Effects of the Sea Breeze Circulation on Soil Temperature Over Kuwait Using in Situ Observations and the ECMWF ModelJune 30, 2019
Ionospheric Response to the Space Weather Events of 4-10 September 2017: First Chilean ObservationsSeptember 30, 2019
The Predictability of Blocking Character in the Northern Hemisphere Using an Ensemble Forecast SystemNovember 15, 2019
Empirical Models for Estimating Tropospheric Radio Refractivity Over Osogbo, Nigeria
MODIS Summer SUHI Cross-sections Anomalies over the Megacities of the Monsoon Asia Region and Global TrendsHofit Itzhak-Ben-Shalom, Pinhas Alpert, Oded Potchter, Rana Samuels
Evidence has accumulated in recent years regarding the scope of local and global climate changes attributed to exacerbating anthropogenic factors such as accelerating population growth, urbanization, industrialization, traffic and energy use. Remote space monitoring, unlike ground-based measurements, has the advantage of providing global coverage on a daily basis.
MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Aqua and Terra 1°×1° spatial resolution as well as the 1 km higher resolution of Aqua-MODIS were investigated for a global overview of megacities temperature variations, as well as the recent trends of the 10 largest Monsoon Asian megacities.
The average Land Surface Temperature (LST) cross-sections of the 10 Asian megacities were examined for June-August 2002-2014. Temperature variations fit a spatial bell-shaped curve, with a pronounced maximum over the city center. Nighttime data indicated sharp LST decreases with distance from the city center, particularly in the coldest cities, those of Tokyo, Seoul, Osaka and Beijing.
Daytime latitudinal (E-W) and longitudinal (N-S) Surface Urban Heat Islands (SUHI) have steeper gradients than for nighttime data. During daytime, the SUHI gradients are largest in Tokyo, Seoul, Osaka and Beijing with values reaching 15oC followed by the cities of Shanghai and Guangzhou with ~11oC, and Karachi with ~5oC SUHI. Nighttime SUHIs were more moderate, 4-6oC in Tokyo, Seoul ~5oC, Osaka 5-7oC and Beijing ~7oC. Only in the three largest megacities, i.e., Tokyo, Guangzhou and Shanghai, did the nighttime LST trends decline.
October 31, 2017
- August 09, 2017
Changes in Seasonality Index Over Sub-Divisions of India During 1951-2015July 27, 2017
Impact of Energetic Electron Precipitation on the Upper Atmosphere: Nitric MonoxideJune 30, 2017
A Study of the Surface Air Temperature Variations in NigeriaJune 30, 2017
Harmonic Analysis of Worldwide Temperature Proxies for 2000 YearsJune 30, 2017
Sensitivity of WRF Cloud Microphysics to Simulations of a Convective Storm Over the Nepal HimalayasMay 31, 2017
Response of the Antarctic Ionosphere to Some Intense Geomagnetic Storms